Morning Gang!
The SPX is attacking the 50 dma, is the 2nd time since DEC. The 20 dma is at 871 which many of you saw me take the short against it at the close as this is a Holy grail setup. I expect us to test the 50 and possibly all the way 854 square out. If we are truly in a bull mode we should find a low and advance back thru 50 dma. I have a cycle turn around 2/20 and expect the rally to stay in place. I will be watching the ORB closely today. Interesting that 874 is a time square that I missed yesterday and need to see how the market reacts from the number especially since it was magnitized to it. God geometizes. Hit em Hard!
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
The lines are the ORB I refer to daily. (first 3 10 min bars high and low). notice the morning breakout and test at A that penetrated the 20 mathen put in an inside bar and rallied....would suggest a successful test of the ORB and rally ensued....At B I stated that we may accelerate at 863 break but a mirror image of A played of the test. Was the reason I said last 20 min ramp would play out. Hope this helps and show one of the ways I use for direction.
Monday, January 26, 2009
USO
Morning Gang!
I use today's chart to show you that spx now has closed below the 850 level for the first time on the weekly chart in 8 weeks. Are we coiling for a run? I'm on the defense and play by scalping and very little swing trades with tight stops. I need to see us get above the 850 level on a closing basis as well as the weekly swing chart will turn up at 849.65. Both would be constructive. CAT's numbers are bad so we should get a chance to buy the down open if the bullls are trying to make a stand. A trade above 836 that sticks would get me going on the day...below 820 and more important 805 the lows look more likely. Hit em hard. on the radar ERX, USO, GS, AEM
Friday, January 23, 2009
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
I want to point out the ORB I use and the example from today. The horizontal lines are the opening range numbers from the first 3 ten min bars...I plot them on the stocks I follow GS shown. Notice the break this am and the hook back up to the range and the moved sideways/ The buy was the break of the upper range at 820 to get going and it so happens that an inverse HS was also present....GS late day upper break suggest a close at the high and the same for the ES...Hope this helps
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Morning Gang
I put up the weekly chart to show the importance of the 850 level and the one weekly close below since Nov. I'm looking at 820 break and we test 740 or 870 giddy up and the 890/900 level on the inverse head and shoulders neckline comes in...if the upmove begins then these levels recaptured the old 940/944 level is back in play....my horns are still out on a weekly close above 850...Hit'em hard
Friday, January 16, 2009
OPex
Morning gang
I'm still in need of a close above 854 to put us back in a stronger position. Yesterday was quite the life of the party with many stocks pinging back in fro from their strikes...good one GS! MA and RIMM...Rimm has been very strong recently and looks higher. 820/825 (270 degrees) now lets see if the pullback has been complete and a 944-1100 advance plays out. Horns up!
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Bull Case
Morning Gang
News News News, it breaks with cycles. Yesterday proved to be a bloodbath. Blowing right through the level that needed to hold for the run I was looking for from the 360 degree level at 854. We had a late day attempt to get 850 but bounced right off to close at 842 and never getting any kick. My final level before the ultimate test of the 741 level is 825 or 270 degrees up from 741. We need to recapture 854 and hold to put the market back in a stronger position. Positive is my USO position and the action yesterday...it almost scored back to back outside up days. Again I use the numbers for guide posts not set in stone trading numbers...action at the numbers is the key. While i'm IT bearish nad LT bearish I believe we need to rally to set up the bigger down leg to materialize.
News News News, it breaks with cycles. Yesterday proved to be a bloodbath. Blowing right through the level that needed to hold for the run I was looking for from the 360 degree level at 854. We had a late day attempt to get 850 but bounced right off to close at 842 and never getting any kick. My final level before the ultimate test of the 741 level is 825 or 270 degrees up from 741. We need to recapture 854 and hold to put the market back in a stronger position. Positive is my USO position and the action yesterday...it almost scored back to back outside up days. Again I use the numbers for guide posts not set in stone trading numbers...action at the numbers is the key. While i'm IT bearish nad LT bearish I believe we need to rally to set up the bigger down leg to materialize.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
7th week
Morning gang
Tomorrow will be the 7th day from our pivot at 944....We are also in the 7th week from the low 741...You have heard me many times talk about the number 7 as a time of panic or change..Well the 854/850 area is clearly in play this am whith retail sales and earnings leading the news (news breaks with cycles)...Strategy today is the 854/850 level I have been watching to be flushed out and undercut with a quick reversal....The market turns on a dime most traders can't.
A quick review
Trend= down by looking at the monthly and now the weekly swing charts are down look to these for direction...Hit'em Hard
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Monday, January 12, 2009
SD
Morning
Morning gang!
As I have been looking for since I said watch the 944 level, we r in a pullback or coil in a ST bullish phase to 888 spx...If this is true I would expect us to find a low today as the close on Friday suggests a down open to find first hour low and recovery...I have been pointing out that the 850 area is 360 degrees up from low and would negate the bullish test if broken.... THe market will speak...Hit em hard
As I have been looking for since I said watch the 944 level, we r in a pullback or coil in a ST bullish phase to 888 spx...If this is true I would expect us to find a low today as the close on Friday suggests a down open to find first hour low and recovery...I have been pointing out that the 850 area is 360 degrees up from low and would negate the bullish test if broken.... THe market will speak...Hit em hard
Friday, January 9, 2009
GS
Friday, January 2, 2009
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